Following an announcement by UN meteorologists that average global temperatures in 2008 are forecast to be lower than in previous years, Michel Jarraud the World Meteorological Organisation’s secretary-general, warned that this is not a “trend”.

When you look at climate change you should not look at any particular year,” he told the BBC. “You should look at trends over a pretty long period and the trend of temperature globally is still very much indicative of warming.”

“La Nina is part of what we call ‘variability’. There has always been and there will always be cooler and warmer years, but what is important for climate change is that the trend is up.”

It is nice to see Michel Jarraud acknowledge that there are ‘variabilities’ with regards to our climate. On that note I would like to point out another variability which is largely ignored.

The recent devastating El Niño event of 1997/98 is a fresh memory for many. It ranks as the second strongest in the past century, causing over 2,000 deaths and leaving a global damage bill of around £20 billion.

While IPCC scientists tout 1998 as being the warmest year in history, they continue to ignore that we were also undergoing the second stronget El Niño event of the past century at that time. Warm-mongers expect us to believe that the recent cooling we have been experiencing is due to natural events, while the warming period that preceded it was due to man made events.

RedState has more on this:

There is more bad news for Mr. Jarraud and the Global Warming apologists. The meteorologists in his own agency say that the cooling…anomaly…is due to La Nina, the cooling of Pacific Ocean surface temperatures in the Southern Hemisphere. Worse, forecasters at the U.K. Met Office’s Hadley Centre for Forecasting say that the cooling…searching for a word other than trend…could continue for another five years until La Nina’s counterpart, El Nino, again warms the Southern Pacific.

That analysis pretty clearly refutes the Global Warming crowd’s doctrine that the Earth’s warming is caused by man. If the natural phenomenon of La Nina lowers worldwide temperatures, and the equally natural phenomenon of El Nino raises them, what does that say for human activities? Clearly humans have no effect on the warmth of the Pacific Ocean.

But don’t expect the politics of this science to change anytime soon.

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Features, Global Warming